讲座预告：
上海大学社会学院系列讲座
2016年第24讲总第430讲
题目：
度量世界各国的国内迁移：IMAGE(世界各国国内迁移对比)项目
时间：2016年6月8日10：00-11：30
地点：校本部B417
主讲人：Martin Bell
昆士兰大学荣休教授，IMAGE项目负责人
主持人：朱宇
上海大学亚洲人口研究中心特聘教授，福建师范大学人口研究中心主任，
讲座简介：
Internal migration shapes human settlement, facilitates life course transitions and is integral to national development, but cross-national comparisons have been hampered by differences in the way migration is measured, poor access to data, methodological issues and inadequate summary statistics. The IMAGEProject reviewed global practice in 193 UN member States, assembled a repository of migration data for 135 countries, and built bespoke software (the IMAGE Studio) to address key issues and compute robust comparative indicators. This seminar summarises the findings of the project, focusing on two key dimensions of migration - overall intensity and spatial redistribution – in a sample of countries that encompass80% of the global population. It presents a global league table of migration intensities computed by coupling the approach proposed by et al. (2012) to the flexible aggregation routines of the IMAGE Studio, and shows how migration is linked to national development .Overall impacts of migration on spatial redistribution are compared using a new Index of Net Migration Impact (INMI) which distinguishes the contributions of migration intensity and migration effectiveness. The spatial effects of migration on the settlement pattern are revealed through regression models linking migration rates to population density. By way of conclusion we present a general model of the way population redistribution through internal migration proceeds with the process of national development.
国内人口迁移在人类聚落的形成和生命历程的转变中扮演着重要角色，并是各国发展进程的内在组成部分。然而，比较不同国家的国内人口迁移受到许多不同因素的阻碍，数据获取上的困难，方法上的问题，以及不恰当的概括性统计等。IMAGE项目评述了全球193个联合国成员国的相关实践，建立了包含135个国家的迁移数据库，并开发了专用软件（即IMAGE工作室）用来处理关键问题并计算稳健的对比指标。此次讲座将介绍这个项目的主要结果，聚焦于一个包含了全球80%人口的国家样本中国内人口迁移的两个关键方面，即迁移的整体强度和空间分布。讲座将向大家呈现通过将Courgeau提出的方法与IMAGE工作室的灵活集成程序相结合计算得出的全球迁移强度排名表，并将向大家展示迁移和国家发展之间的相互关系。讲座中还将介绍如何使用一个新提出的迁移净影响指标（INMI）来比较迁移对人口分布的整体影响，并区分迁移强度和迁移有效性的贡献。讲座中还将通过将迁移率与人口密度相联系的回归模型揭示人口迁移对聚落模式的空间效应。讲座最后将介绍一个人口在国家发展进程中如何通过国内迁移重新分布的一般模型
主讲人简介：
Martin Bell retired as Professor of Human Geographyin December 2015. He joined the University of Queensland in 2001 following previous appointments at the University of Adeladie and in the Australian Government sector. During his time at UQ, he was Head of School from January 2003 until June 2009, and the Director, Queensland Centre of Population Research. He is also a panel member, IUSSP Scientific Panel on Migration and Urbanization.Professor Bell is a demographer and population geographer with interests in population mobility and internal migration, demographic projections and forecasts, regional and local population change and population models and methods of analysis.
Martin Bell教授于2015年12月作为人文地理学教授从澳大利亚昆士兰大学荣休。他于2001年受聘于昆士兰大学，此前分别在阿德莱德大学和澳大利亚政府部门工作。在昆士兰大学期间，他于2003年1月至2009年6月担任昆士兰大学地理、环境和规划学院院长和昆士兰人口研究中心主任。他还是国际人口科学研究联盟人口迁移流动和城市化专业委员会的委员。Martin Bell教授是人口学家和人口地理学家，其主要研究领域涉及人口移动和国内人口迁移，人口预测，区域和地方人口变化，人口模型和人口分析方法等
Shanghai, P. R. China, 200444
联系人：徐芬芳
联系电话：021-66135205
电子邮件：xufenfang2008@163.com
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上海大学社会学院
School of Sociology and Political Science，Shanghai University
